Avalanche Price Forecast: AVAX eyes $30 as bullish momentum builds across key metrics

• Avalanche price approaches critical resistance at $26.07; a breakout could trigger a fresh rally.
• On-chain data shows AVAX’s Spot Taker CVD is positive and rising, signaling buy-side dominance.
• The technical outlook backs a continued upward move, with bulls targeting the $30 level.

Avalanche (AVAX) price shows signs of renewed bullish strength as it approaches a key resistance level at around $26.07 at the time of writing on Wednesday. Supported by positive on-chain metrics and a favorable technical outlook, the altcoin appears poised for further upside. With buying pressure increasing and momentum shifting in favor of the bulls, AVAX could be on track to hit the $30 mark in the coming days. 

Avalanche bulls take control of the momentum

CryptoQuant data, as shown in the graph below, highlights buying pressure on AVAX. The Taker CVD (Cumulative Volume Delta) for AVAX has been positive and has increased since early May. This indicator measures the cumulative difference between market buy and sell volumes over 3 months. When 90-day CVD is positive and increasing, it suggests the Taker Buy Dominant Phase, while a negative and decreasing value indicates the Taker Sell Dominant Phase.

AVAX Spot Taker CVD chart. Source: CryptoQuant

CoinGlass’ data shows that the futures’ Open Interest (OI) in AVAX at exchanges rose from $488.25 million on Friday to $622.54 million on Wednesday, levels not seen since early February. An increasing OI represents new or additional money entering the market and new buying, which could fuel the current AVAX price rally.

AVAX open interest chart. Source: Coinglass

Avalanche bulls could hit $30 if it closes above its key resistance 

Avalanche price has faced resistance around its 200-day Exponential Moving Average at $26.07 since Sunday. However, earlier this week, it retested and found support around its 100-day EMA at $23.21. At the time of writing on Wednesday, it approaches its key resistance at $26.07.

If AVAX breaks and closes above its 200-day EMA at $26.07 on a daily basis, it could extend the rally to retest its psychological barrier at $30.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the daily chart reads 69, pointing upward toward its overbought levels of 70, indicating strong bullish momentum. However, traders should be cautious as the chances of a pullback are high due to the overbought condition. Another possibility is that the RSI remains above the overbought level of 70 and continues its upward trend.

AVAX/USDT daily chart

However, if AVAX faces a correction, it could extend the decline to test its 100-day EMA level at $23.21.